The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has increased their forecast of COVID-19 total deaths in the U.S. to 180,000 to 200,000 by the week ending September 5 based on the current modeling totals, states a CDC press release.
This week CDC received forecasts of national COVID-19 deaths over the next four weeks from 31 modeling groups. Of the 31 groups, 29 provided forecasts for both new and total deaths and two provided forecasts for total deaths only.
This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that 4,200 to 10,600 new COVID-19 deaths will be reported during the week ending September 5 and that 180,000 to 200,000 total COVID-19 deaths will be reported by that date.
State- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that the number of reported new deaths per week may increase over the next four weeks in Colorado and may decrease in Arizona, the Northern Mariana Islands, Vermont, and Wyoming.