CDC forecasts record US COVID-19 deaths, hospitalizations

Jan. 8, 2021

This week’s national ensemble forecast from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) predicts that 12,900 to 24,900 new deaths will likely be reported in the week ending Jan. 30, 2021, and also predicts that a total of 405,000 to 438,000 COVID-19 deaths will be reported by this date, announced the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

The CDC received forecasts of COVID-19 deaths over the next four weeks from 36 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts. Of the 36 groups, 33 provided forecasts for both new and total deaths, two groups forecasted total deaths only, and one forecasted new deaths only.

The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, the number of newly reported deaths per week will likely increase in two jurisdictions and decrease in four jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported deaths are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

CDC has the surveillance.

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